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Andrew Macken explains the recent weakness of the US dollar and strength of the Aussie through global current account imbalances, drawing on Michael Pettis's work. The piece argues that savings and investment gaps between countries drive currency moves.
A weaker USD tends to support dollar-priced commodities, and the analysis suggests the currency trend may persist, which matters for export-linked feed ingredient prices.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。