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ABC analysis asks whether the Australian dollar will fall as US interest rates rise, noting new Fed chair Jerome Powell signalled a possible extra hike this year. It notes big banks see the Aussie near 70 US cents by mid-2019, with commodity prices and volatility seen as the main drivers.
Currency moves shape the competitiveness of Australian grain and commodity exports and the cost of imported feed inputs; a weaker AUD tends to support Australian export prices in USD terms.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。