
Bloomberg reports that markets increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to tighten policy after Congress approved large tax cuts and spending increases. Futures pricing implies the Fed's short-term rate will reach 2% by December, a quarter point above expectations from three months earlier.
Inflation and wage growth are cited as signs the economy is heating up.
Higher expected US rates tend to support the dollar, which weighs on dollar-priced commodities and can slow export demand. The fiscal-stimulus driver also raises the chance of faster tightening, which increases pressure on feed margins.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。