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The IEA cut its 2026 world oil supply forecast to 100.7 mb/d, down 5.7 mb/d year on year, and deferred the Middle East supply recovery to 2027. It also projected 2026 global oil demand to fall by 2.5 mb/d.
Observed global inventories have fallen sharply since February.
Lower supply and falling inventories point to tighter crude markets and firmer energy costs, which affect diesel and freight for feed. Demand destruction partly offsets the supply loss.
在过去 131 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +3.4%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
在过去 116 次看涨的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%(66% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +3.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。