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Average pre-report analyst estimates for the March 23 Cattle on Feed report placed feedlot inventories at 108.1 percent of a year earlier, placements at 104.5 percent, and marketings at 101.4 percent. Analysts have underestimated placements in most recent months, and the article discusses whether the USDA survey is the more reliable measure.
Surprises versus pre-report estimates have moved feeder cattle futures sharply. Larger-than-expected placements point to more feedlot demand for feed and more near-term cattle supply.
wlj.netKerry Halladay, WLJ Managing Editor2018年3月26日在过去 44 次中性的报告事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（59% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 78 次中性的报告事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
