
U.S. livestock futures on CME plunged by daily limits on April 1, 2020 as stricter coronavirus emergency measures hit stock markets and raised recession worries. Lean hogs fell to their lowest since August 2018 after the White House extended emergency measures through April.
Traders weighed burdensome meat supplies against weaker demand and supply chain disruptions.
Pandemic-driven recession fears and extended lockdowns cut expected meat demand, pushing livestock futures lower and reducing near-term feed demand from feedlots and hog operations.
在过去 37 次看跌的宏观事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.1%(30% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.3% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 123 次看涨的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 73 次中性的宏观事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
在过去 17 次看跌的宏观事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Lean hogs went limit down on April 1 as stricter coronavirus measures raised recession worries, hitting stock and livestock markets and depressing demand expectations.
Cattle futures plunged by daily limits on April 1 as stricter coronavirus measures raised recession worries and hit sentiment.
Limit-down moves on April 1 after extended COVID emergency measures raised recession fears and hit demand sentiment, driving lean hogs to multi-year lows within the window.
Limit-down plunge in cattle on April 1 as stricter COVID emergency measures raised recession fears fell within the 5-day window and directly drove the decline.
Limit-down moves on April 1 from stricter COVID emergency measures and recession worries began the multi-day liquidation.
Limit-down livestock futures and recession fears on April 1 weakened expected feed demand and risk sentiment, pressuring meal.