
Opec's monthly report projected that global oil supply will match demand in 2026, a shift from earlier forecasts of a deficit. Opec kept its 2025 and 2026 demand growth forecasts of about 1.3 million bpd and said the global economy remained resilient.
The report showed a marginal surplus of about 20,000 bpd if Opec+ output stays at October's rate.
A projected balanced-to-surplus market limits the upside for crude prices, which supports lower energy costs for feed producers. The gap between Opec and other forecasters is narrowing, which reduces the chance of a sharp price move.
在过去 129 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 171 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。