
Opec cut its second-quarter 2026 world oil demand forecast by 500,000 bpd to 105.07 million bpd and kept its full-year growth forecast unchanged. The report followed the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz by the Iran war, which has shut in Middle East production and pushed fuel prices sharply higher.
Governments are taking steps to conserve supplies.
A lower demand outlook eases some upward pressure, but the Hormuz disruption keeps crude supply tight and fuel costs high for feed transport and processing. Net direction for energy prices depends on whether supply losses outweigh weaker demand.
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 250 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +8.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。