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An SCMP analysis argues Beijing is unlikely to devalue the yuan to handle US trade frictions, citing its priority on curbing financial risk and its goal of building a global currency. It recalls the August 2015 devaluation and the confusion it caused.
Expectation of no devaluation reduces the chance of a currency offset to US tariffs on soybeans, keeping tariff pressure on US feed commodity prices.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。