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Options traders bought about $1.4 billion of USD/BRL call contracts with a 3.5 strike, with volume about 25 times average, as the real traded near 3.5 per dollar, its lowest in 11 months. Analysts cite worries over the Palocci testimony in the Carwash graft probe and a Supreme Court move that could free Lula.
Expected real volatility and possible political shocks can move the currency sharply, which changes Brazilian export competitiveness and the dollar cost of soybean and corn exports.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。