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The Waterways Journal reports that threatened Chinese soybean tariffs had not yet taken effect and that negotiations could still prevent them. It cites analysts who expect US soybeans and corn to be rerouted to other buyers, with the cargo still moving down the river to the Gulf.
Argentina and Mexico have bought US soybeans for 2018/19.
Diverted demand from other buyers supports US soybean prices, but a loss of Chinese purchases would still pressure export basis and river barge demand for soybeans.
waterwaysjournal.netWaterways Journal2018年4月16日在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 480 次中性的贸易事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
