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John Kemp analyzes recent statements from OPEC ministers and suggests the group is shifting its target from inventory levels to upstream investment. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said there is no target price and that higher prices will be needed to fund investment.
If OPEC targets investment rather than stocks, it may keep supply restrained and accept higher prices, which supports crude prices over the longer term.
在过去 438 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.9%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +4.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 442 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.9%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。