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U.S. Wheat Associates president Vince Peterson argues that Russian wheat yields have been record-setting, reaching 85 MMT in 2017, while Russia's planted wheat area has barely expanded. He notes that Russia sends over 80% of its wheat exports to Africa and the Middle East, regions with structural import deficits.
Russia's strong yields and steady export focus keep competitive pressure on U.S. wheat in deficit importing regions, which is bearish for wheat export prices.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 82 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。