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A former senior official with China's foreign exchange regulator expects the yuan to follow a two-way fluctuation path in 2018, with little disturbance from US trade talks unless actual conflict occurs. The yuan's central parity rose 3.1% against the dollar in the first four months of 2018.
A stable yuan implies no currency-driven shift in Chinese import costs for US soybeans and feed grains, so trade headlines remain the main price driver.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。