An OANDA analyst says OPEC supply rebalancing remains the main focus ahead of the June 22 OPEC meeting in Vienna, with the market expecting an increase but debating its size. Iran remains a wildcard, as risk premiums have eased but not disappeared.
A possible Iranian exit from the nuclear deal could push prices much higher.
The size of the OPEC increase at the June meeting will determine whether crude prices soften or stay elevated, which affects energy costs in biofuel and feed supply chains. Iranian risk keeps upside risk to crude in place.
在过去 175 次中性的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。