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USDA's Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook says slower processor demand for hogs, soft domestic pork demand and Mexican tariff adjustments will weigh on second-half hog prices. Packer margins in May averaged about $15/cwt, nearly 29% below a year earlier, and third- and fourth-quarter hog prices are forecast 19% and 17% below 2017.
Weaker packer demand and lower hog prices reduce the value of hogs and pork, pointing to a bearish outlook for hog-based feed demand and lean hog futures in the second half.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。