
The USDA June Hogs and Pigs report showed the highest June 1 hog inventory since records began in 1964, at 73.5 million head, up 3 percent year over year. Pigs per litter reached a record 10.63, and the March-May pig crop was the largest for that period since 1970.
A record hog inventory and larger pig crop add heavy supply that will pressure hog prices into the fourth quarter. This report surprise is a major bearish fundamental for pork and related feed demand.
在过去 159 次看跌的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The USDA June Hogs and Pigs report showed record inventory and litter rates, a bearish supply backdrop that had been feeding into prices, though it came out about a week before the move.