
Corn and soybean crop ratings improved 1 to 2 points in major Midwest states over the past week as drier weather in the western Midwest and wetter weather in the east helped conditions. USDA-style topsoil moisture is much wetter than a year ago, and forecasters expect further gains with stress-free weather.
An El Niño is considered likely this fall, which would make a stressful hot, dry pattern in the Midwest unlikely.
Better crop ratings and an expected El Niño point to strong supply prospects, which is bearish for corn and soybean prices and therefore for feed ingredient costs.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 118 次看跌的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。