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The ECB's account of its July monetary policy meeting reviews financial markets since June. It notes US and German yield curves kept flattening and term premia fell deeper into negative territory, partly due to trade-dispute uncertainty driving demand for safe-haven government bonds.
Market expectations for the first ECB rate hike were pushed further out.
Lower yields and a delayed ECB tightening weaken the euro relative to the dollar, which affects dollar-denominated feed commodity prices and import costs for European buyers. The effect on grain and oilseed prices is indirect.
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。