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A farm bill is unlikely to offer much relief to farmers, especially soybean growers, if commodity prices stay depressed from tariffs. USTR Lighthizer warned the trade war with China could last years, and the Agriculture Secretary said the $12 billion aid package will not be repeated.
Expectations of a prolonged trade dispute and limited policy backstop keep a bearish outlook on soybean prices and push farmers to cut costs, which can reduce future feed demand from the livestock sector.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。