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OPEC's plan to raise production by 1 million b/d with Russia and allies has stalled, with ample supply in key Asian markets. Saudi Arabia is positioned as the swing producer, and Venezuela's economic crisis and Iran sanctions add uncertainty.
Trade wars and demand risks further complicate the outlook.
Uncertainty over whether OPEC will cut or add supply leaves crude prices without a clear direction, which feeds through to energy and freight costs for feed buyers.
在过去 175 次中性的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。