
Overseas investors are finding dollars increasingly expensive and scarce as the Fed raises rates and shrinks its balance sheet. The cross-currency basis widened sharply on Thursday, the day after the Fed's eighth hike of the cycle, and the cost of borrowing dollars offshore is now the highest since 2009.
Quarter-end rebalancing and Italy-related euro outflows may have contributed.
Tighter dollar funding raises the cost of trade finance and debt service for importers of feed commodities, which can curb purchases and weigh on prices. It also signals a stronger dollar that pressures dollar-priced commodities.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。