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Bloomberg reports that some asset managers expect the dollar to weaken despite the Fed's expected rate hike at its September 26 meeting. BNP Paribas Asset Management sees the broad dollar falling about 10% within six to nine months, and Invesco forecasts a roughly 2% drop against the euro by year-end.
Both are watching for comments on trade tensions.
A weaker dollar would support US commodity prices and lift export competitiveness for soybeans, corn and meal, while raising costs for importers. The forecasts are contrarian views rather than confirmed trends.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。