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Wood Mackenzie says China was the second-largest buyer of US LNG in the 12 months to June 2018, but Chinese purchases have fallen as the trade dispute escalated. China's retaliatory tariff on US LNG is 10%, lower than the 25% first proposed in August.
Winter cargo purchases are largely complete, so the short-term market impact is seen as limited.
Lost Chinese demand for US LNG could weigh on US export economics and new project contracting. Chinese buyers may pay a premium of up to 10% for non-US supply if they still need spot cargoes.
在过去 24 次看跌的贸易事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.8%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.5% 至 +7.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。