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Economists expect much of the record 2018 U.S. soybean harvest to go unsold after China, the former top buyer, placed high tariffs on U.S. soybeans in July. The unsold crop will have to stay in storage, and the administration announced aid for farmers.
Record stocks building in storage due to lost Chinese export demand is bearish for soybeans and meal, and it raises the cost of carry and basis weakness for the 2018/19 marketing year.
upi.comJessie Higgins2018年9月24日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
