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The Nino3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly stayed in the neutral range in July 2018, with the 3-month average near zero. Models point to a late, weak to possibly moderate El Niño from September-November 2018, and the outlook notes that its impact on Southeast Asia is expected to be limited given the late and likely weak development.
Southeast Asia drought risk tied to El Niño is a factor for palm oil output, but the outlook says the expected impact is not significant, which limits the bullish case for palm oil prices.
elninoreadynations.comadmin2018年9月27日在过去 19 次中性的天气事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 +2.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
