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The EIA's October Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts higher US household heating expenditures this winter, with natural gas up 5% and home heating oil up 20%. It expects end-October natural gas inventories at their lowest for that time of year since 2005.
Brent averaged $79/b in September and is forecast at $74/b for 2018.
The EIA projection of low gas inventories supports a firmer natural gas price outlook into winter. Energy cost forecasts also feed into diesel and transport costs for feed delivery.
在过去 74 次看涨的报告事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.3%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +11.3%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
在过去 56 次中性的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。