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A Columbia CGEP commentary says US natural gas storage is about 700 Bcf below normal, with consumption and exports growing faster than production. It warns that the market is underpricing the risk of winter price spikes at Henry Hub and regional basis points.
The paper also notes that consumers are underhedged.
A structural storage deficit means limited cushion against cold weather, which supports gas prices through winter. Higher gas costs feed through to energy-intensive feed milling and ethanol co-product economics.
energypolicy.columbia.eduColumbia, CGEP2018年10月16日在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后，天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
