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A European Commission short-term outlook, published October 3, forecasts 2018 EU cereal output at 284.3 million tonnes, 8% below the five-year average. Wheat harvest fell most, with a forecast of 129 million tonnes after summer drought.
EU cereal prices peaked in August, with wheat near €50 per tonne and barley near €60 per tonne.
Reduced EU grain supply after drought supports wheat and barley values and may increase EU import demand, tightening feed grain markets.
world-grain.comHolly Demaree-Saddler2018年10月4日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
