
Thai experts expect the US midterm results, which gave Democrats control of the House, to push President Trump toward softer trade stances with China. A US-China trade deal is widely expected when Trump and Xi meet at the G-20 later this month.
Analysts also flagged a likely Fed rate hike in December as a risk to emerging-market capital flows.
A possible US-China trade deal would support Chinese purchases of US soybeans and grains, which are currently disrupted by the tariff dispute. Expectations of a deal are already largely priced in, so the impact depends on whether it materializes.
在过去 696 次看涨的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 729 次看涨的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。