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A shipping analysis notes the Baltic Dry Index was solid through 2018 but has been posting 1,300-1,400 for much of the year, falling to 1,023 by November 19. It says the Sino-US trade dispute, including rushed U.S. soybean shipments ahead of China's retaliatory tariff, could pressure dry bulk markets going forward.
Trade-war uncertainty over soybean shipments to China threatens dry-bulk demand and freight earnings. Lower export volumes can weigh on U.S. soybean and grain basis.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。