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Russia's blockade of the Kerch Strait during its tensions with Ukraine has cut access to the Sea of Azov. The Azov ports handle about 7 million tonnes of Russian and Ukrainian grain, and Chicago wheat futures rose 1% on the day.
Analysts expect the effect on grain markets to be relatively limited.
The strait is a route for Black Sea grain, so disruption can lift freight rates and add to wheat's risk premium. Analysts see Russia as unlikely to block its own cargoes for long, which caps the price effect.
themoscowtimes.comBloomberg2018年11月26日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
