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Malaysian Palm Oil Board data showed November palm oil stockpiles hit a record 3.0 million tonnes, up 10% month on month, as exports fell faster than production. Early December export estimates from cargo surveyors show a further decline.
Maybank Kim Eng says the low spot price already reflects the high stocks and expects a seasonal recovery in the first quarter of 2019.
A record stockpile signals bearish near-term supply pressure, though a possible seasonal price bottom suggests limited downside from current levels for palm oil buyers.
在过去 96 次看跌的报告事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。