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Four analysts from Brazil, the US and China discussed trade wars, tariffs, global demand and supply, African swine fever and Australian drought for 2019. All five expect global beef export demand to stay firm in 2019, with China, Japan and Korea key.
Trump's tariff threats and the 800-point market drop were cited as sources of uncertainty.
Firm export demand for beef supports cattle prices, while tariff uncertainty and African swine fever-driven pork shortfalls could shift protein demand and feed-grain sentiment.
beefcentral.comGuest Author2018年12月14日在过去 65 次中性的贸易事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 +2.5%。
在过去 85 次看涨的贸易事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.8%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +4.5%），20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
