Strategy Grains, a French grain analyst, forecasts the EU-28 2019 grain harvest at 311 million tonnes, up 11% from 279 million in 2018 and the largest since 2015. The increase reflects higher yields and about 6% more acreage after drought and heat hit 2018 crops in Central and Northern Europe.
Rapeseed output is expected to fall on smaller acreage.
A much larger EU crop in 2019 would add supply to world wheat and barley markets and could weigh on export prices, though the analyst expects the EU to stay uncompetitive abroad for now. Lower EU rapeseed output supports rapeseed meal and oil prices.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 770 次中性的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。