
The India Meteorological Department forecasts a strong possibility of weak El Niño conditions developing this winter, with a mild warming already visible in the western Pacific. The department also expects slightly warmer-than-usual winter minimum temperatures across most of India, which could affect the wheat crop.
A developing El Niño raises the risk of a weaker Indian monsoon later in 2019, which could tighten Indian feed supplies and support demand for imported grains. Warmer winter temperatures may also affect wheat yields in the region.
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 31 次中性的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -1.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。