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IRI scientists are presenting research at the AGU meeting on how climate influences global food systems. One study found that ENSO accounted for a little under one-fifth of global maize production variability between 1980 and 2010.
The finding quantifies how much global maize output swings with ENSO cycles, which helps buyers gauge weather-linked supply risk. It is background research and does not itself shift near-term prices.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。