
Farm Futures analyst Bryce Knorr reports that farmer yield reports on Feedback From The Field suggest 2018 corn and soybean crops are smaller than USDA's November estimates. The average Feedback corn yield was 173.3 bpa, down 5.6 bpa from USDA's figure, and USDA will not revise until January.
If the USDA eventually lowers production estimates toward grower-reported yields, tighter corn and soybean supplies would support feed grain and meal prices.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Farmer-reported yields of 173.3 bpa, well below USDA's November estimate, suggest a smaller crop and supply-side support for corn.