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At the SMC3 Jump Start 2019 event, policy expert Randal Mullett said IMO rules phasing out high-sulfur bunker fuel from January 1, 2020 could raise diesel prices 20% to 30% and ocean fuel prices by up to 25%. One shipping company estimated extra fuel costs of $100 million per month.
He also expects capacity constraints and infrastructure gridlock in Congress.
Higher bunker and diesel costs would raise ocean freight and trucking expenses for feed importers and exporters. The estimate is a forecast from one analyst, so the price path remains uncertain.
在过去 90 次看涨的政策事件之后,ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(66% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +4.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。