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Several USDA reports, including WASDE, Quarterly Grain Stocks, weekly export sales and the Livestock Slaughter and Cattle on Feed report, are unavailable due to the government shutdown. Economist Brenda Boetel says the market is trading on old information and the gap with reality could widen when reports resume.
Missing USDA data forces markets to trade on assumptions, raising volatility risk; a likely lower 2018 corn crop estimate could surprise when reports return.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 78 次中性的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。