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Rabobank's 2019 Agribusiness Outlook expects global wheat prices to come under pressure in the second half of 2019 as new Australian crop arrives. It flags a China anti-dumping investigation into Australian barley, with a first decision expected in early February.
A possible Chinese tariff on Australian barley would disrupt a major trade flow and pressure export prices, while tight global barley stocks offer support.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。