
Trump announced that the 40% tariff on Brazilian beef would end, prompting expected quick sales of frozen Brazilian beef held in US bonded storage. Live and feeder cattle futures fell to their lowest since July on the news.
Brazil faces a 26.4% tariff for the rest of 2025 before the new quota year begins on January 1.
Large volumes of Brazilian beef entering the US market add supply that competes with domestic beef and weighs on cattle prices. The 2026 tariff-free quota could sustain higher import flows.
在过去 121 次看跌的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 87 次看跌的贸易事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。