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A Cofco UK trading director says Russia's record export pace has finally slowed, with 24 million tonnes shipped in the first half of the season and domestic Russian prices rising. He argues EU and US wheat are too late to capture the gap, with Russia still having about 12 million tonnes of its 36 million tonne export surplus to ship.
Slowing Russian exports leave room for EU and US wheat, but ample Russian supplies and strong competition cap any sustained price rally.
在过去 206 次中性的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 20 次中性的贸易事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.7%(30% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.1% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -4.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。