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Capital Economics says the New Year rebound in commodities and riskier assets, helped by a more dovish Fed that weakened the dollar in January, is likely to lose momentum. It expects slower global growth to dampen market optimism and drive renewed price weakness later in the year.
A weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities, but expected softening in global growth implies downside risk to feed ingredient prices later in 2019.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。