The March 2019 FAO-AMIS market monitor forecasts 2019 world wheat production at 757.4 million tonnes, 29 Mt above 2018 and close to the 2017 record. The rebound is driven mainly by the EU, with output up at least 8%, and by Russia, where production could rise almost 10%.
Ukraine is forecast up nearly 8% and Canada about 4%.
A large global wheat rebound adds supply to export markets, which pressures wheat prices and competes with feed grains. Larger Black Sea and EU exports would weigh on wheat values through the 2019/20 marketing year.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 138 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。