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Traders and analysts report that Europe's unusually warm winter has given the 2019 wheat crop good initial conditions, with little frost damage in top producing regions. France's soft wheat sowings are estimated up 2.9% at 5.0 million hectares, and German winter wheat sowings rose 4.6%.
Analysts note that frost and spring dryness remain risks.
Good early crop conditions and larger sowings point to a bigger EU wheat harvest, which would replace supplies after last year's poor crop and weigh on wheat prices. Any late cold snap would reverse this and support prices.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。