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Diesel prices could jump more than 20% overnight after drone strikes on Saudi Arabia removed nearly half of its oil production, about 5% of global supply. Oil futures opened Sunday evening with first trades up more than 20%.
The national average ULSD truckstop price was $2.98 a gallon, and officials said restoration could take weeks.
A roughly 5% overnight global supply shock is historically large and pushes diesel and freight costs sharply higher. Fuel surcharges and hauling costs for feed and grain shipments would rise quickly.
freightwaves.comCraig Fuller, CEO at FreightWaves2019年9月16日在过去 250 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，ULSD / 柴油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +8.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 656 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.9%（63% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.7% 至 +6.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening up more than 20% on the Saudi outage.
Shows futures opening more than 20% higher on the loss of nearly half of Saudi output, consistent with the supply shock.
Notes oil futures opened Sunday evening sharply higher after the Saudi strikes, indicating the expected pass-through to diesel, but it is mostly forward-looking commentary.
