
US hog futures set contract highs in deferred months for a fourth straight day on April 18, 2019, on expectations of higher Chinese pork imports after African swine fever killed pigs in China. USDA reported China bought 23,473 tonnes of US pork in the week ended April 11, and deferred feeder cattle futures also hit contract highs.
Expected Chinese demand for pork to replace ASF-depleted domestic supply supports US hog prices and, through protein substitution, firms cattle and related markets.
在过去 177 次看涨的疫病事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Deferred feeder cattle futures hit contract highs on April 18 amid strong hog/China pork demand sentiment, indicating momentum and spillover buying.