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Ammonia is the softest part of the fertilizer complex as retail prices stall late in planting, leaving dealers with leftover supplies. Black Sea urea slipped below $200/t, well under the May Gulf settlement, while urea gained wholesale and retail as nitrogen shortages persisted at northern river terminals.
Barges are moving upriver again but likely too late to ease shortages.
Weak global nitrogen prices and cheap Black Sea supply point to lower fertilizer costs later, while late-season shortages keep near-term urea firm, a factor for feed grain margins and corn-versus-soy planting choices.
ritzwhse.com2019年5月17日在过去 284 次中性的物流事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 64 次物流事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（48% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
