
Crude oil and natural gas posted solid gains last week, while gold fell as the dollar strengthened on improving US economic conditions. Crude was supported by fears of supply disruption after physical attacks on Saudi Arabian assets and tensions between the US and Iran.
Gains were capped by rising US stockpiles and concerns about weaker demand from the US-China trade dispute.
Middle East supply risk supports crude prices, which feed into diesel and freight costs for feed operations. A stronger dollar is a headwind for dollar-priced commodities.
在过去 626 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.1%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +8.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
在过去 136 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.7%(63% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +8.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
在过去 89 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(74% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.0% 至 +1.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。